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Bus route 470

Transport
470
Usually an Alexander Dennis Adl Enviro 200.

No on-time figurewe can't yet publish a reliable on-time figure for route 470. Below is how long people waited, against what the timetable alone would give.

The last week, day by day
Chance of waiting more than ten minutes if you turn up at random.

Watch a day of route 470’s buses: every bus, replayed on the map. Or click a day on the chart.

The weekly figures

The chance of waiting more than ten minutes if you turn up at random.

Week endingtowards Colliers Wood Stationtowards Sutton Station
21 Jun 2025no datano data
28 Jun 202566%66%
5 Jul 202566% thin66% thin
12 Jul 2025no datano data
19 Jul 202567%67%
26 Jul 202567%67%
2 Aug 202566%67%
9 Aug 202567%67%
16 Aug 202566%67%
23 Aug 202566%67%
30 Aug 202567%67%
6 Sept 202566%66%
13 Sept 202567%67%
20 Sept 202567%67%
27 Sept 202566%67%
4 Oct 202566%67%
11 Oct 202567%66%
18 Oct 202567%67%
25 Oct 202566%66%
1 Nov 202567%68%
8 Nov 202566%66%
15 Nov 202567% thin66% thin
22 Nov 202567% thin67% thin
29 Nov 202566%67%
6 Dec 202567%68%
13 Dec 202566%66%
20 Dec 202567%67%
27 Dec 202566% thin67% thin
3 Jan 202666%67%
10 Jan 202666%67%
17 Jan 202667%67%
24 Jan 202667%67%
31 Jan 2026no datano data
7 Feb 202667%67%
14 Feb 202666%67%
21 Feb 2026no datano data
28 Feb 2026no datano data
7 Mar 202667%67%
14 Mar 202667%67%
21 Mar 202667%67%
28 Mar 202667%68%
4 Apr 202666%68%
11 Apr 202667%67%
18 Apr 202666%66%
25 Apr 202666% thin67% thin
2 May 202667%66%
9 May 202666%67%
16 May 202667%67%
23 May 202667%68%
30 May 202666%67%
6 Jun 202667%67%
13 Jun 202666%66%
20 Jun 202667%67%
27 Jun 202667%67%
4 Jul 2026no datano data
11 Jul 202667%67%
18 Jul 202667%66%
25 Jul 202666%66%
1 Aug 2026no datano data
8 Aug 2026no datano data
15 Aug 2026no datano data
22 Aug 2026no datano data
29 Aug 2026no datano data
5 Sept 202666%67%
12 Sept 202668%68%
19 Sept 202667%67%
26 Sept 202667%66%
3 Oct 202666%67%
10 Oct 202666%67%
17 Oct 202667%67%

Waiting for a bus towards Sutton Station, more than ten minutes goes by on about 67% of trips. Running exactly to the timetable it would be 66% of trips.

towards Colliers Wood Station
Wait > 10 min
67%timetable alone: 66%
Wait > 20 min
34%timetable alone: 33%
Wait > 30 min
6%timetable alone: 1%
1 in 20 wait over
31 min
Cut short
0.8% 1 of 118 journeys
towards Sutton Station
Wait > 10 min
67%timetable alone: 66%
Wait > 20 min
34%timetable alone: 33%
Wait > 30 min
5%timetable alone: 0%
1 in 20 wait over
30 min
Cut short
0.0% 0 of 114 journeys

66 minutes was the longest gap between buses this week, at Crown Road towards Colliers Wood Station, on Monday 12 October from 07:50 to 08:56. This excludes any gaps caused by holes in our own data. Watch it happen →

When it goes wrong

Chance of waiting more than twenty minutes if you turn up at random, by time of day, averaged over the most recent weeks of data. The mark on each bar is the chance if everything ran to timetable.

  • Weekdays 05:00–07:00 32.8%
  • Weekdays 07:00–10:00 34.9%
  • Weekdays 10:00–16:00 34.0%
  • Weekdays 16:00–19:00 32.8%
  • Weekdays 19:00–24:00 30.4%
  • Saturdays 33.3%

Journeys cut short

Last week: 0.4% of journeys were turned back before the end of the line in the week ending 17 October 2026. Everyone on board has to get off; for anyone waiting further along the route it's effectively a cancellation.

towards Colliers Wood Station

Last week, 1 of 118 journeys (1%) were turned short.

  • Morden Station2.6 km short of the end 1

towards Sutton Station

Last week, none of 114 journeys was turned short.

Each place is the last stop the bus was timed at before it turned round, with the typical distance it fell short of the end of the line. The five busiest are named; the rest are counted together.

Compared with TfL's own figures

QuarterTfLOurs
2025/26 Q313 Sept – 2 Jan 202686% on timeno figure
2026/27 Q11 Apr – 26 Jun 202690% on timeno figure

TfL's figures come from its own tracking equipment and its own timetable; mine are computed from the buses' public position feed. They are the same calculation on independent data, so they should broadly agree and move together rather than match exactly.

About this data
Data collected, week ending 17 October 2026
100% of the week. This is the share of the week for which we hold bus location data at all, across the whole of London rather than for this route. A week under 60% is not published; under 90% it is marked as thin.
Journeys observed
  • towards Colliers Wood Station: 118 journeys tracked across four days
  • towards Sutton Station: 114 journeys tracked across four days
A guide to how much evidence sits behind this week's figures, not a measure of the service.
How it is measured
Every day, 05:00–23:59. Waits are measured along the route at TfL's timing points, in each direction, against the timetable — not at the ends of the route, where a bus turned back early counts as if it had run. This route runs to a timetable, but we can't yet publish a reliable on-time figure for it, so it is measured by how long people waited, as a frequent route is. A day with less than four hours of data collected shows no daily figure. How these figures are made.
Gaps in the record for this period (39)

Most recent first. Hover a week on the chart and it will name the gap behind it. Most are a few missing hours on an otherwise ordinary day.

  • 17 Sept 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59: our collector was down (machine off or power cut)
  • 28 Aug 2026 partial day, no data 20:00-23:59: our collector was down (machine off or power cut)
  • 29 Jul – 26 Aug 2026 no collection: the volunteer BODS archive was down and our own collector had not yet started
  • 28 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 11:00-23:59: no collection: the volunteer BODS archive was down and our own collector had not yet started
  • 7 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 15:00-15:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 4 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-21:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 2 Jul – 3 Jul 2026 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 8 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 07:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 7 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59, 18:00-19:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 6 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59, 16:00-16:59, 18:00-18:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 27 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 21 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 20 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 15:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 16 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-15:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 28 Feb 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-18:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 16 Feb – 27 Feb 2026 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 15 Feb 2026 partial day, no data 16:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 30 Jan 2026 partial day, no data 20:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 25 Dec 2025 no bus service on Christmas Day
  • 23 Dec 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Dec 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 24 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 17:00-17:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 17 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 15 Nov – 16 Nov 2025 no London vehicles in the national feed — TfL's export to BODS was down (the volunteer archive itself was collecting)
  • 14 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59, 13:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 31 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 17 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 10 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 3 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 19 Sept 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Sept 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 1 Aug 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 18 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 8 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 6 Jul – 7 Jul 2025 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 18:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 4 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-14:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 25 Jun 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)

For latest timetable and route information, see TfL's official page.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0; bus data via the DfT Bus Open Data Service and Transport for London. Figures are computed from observed bus positions, every day, 05:00–23:59. How these figures are made. Bus positions from the Department for Transport’s Bus Open Data Service (BODS); the Department for Transport cannot warrant the accuracy or quality of the data published there. Positions before September 2026 come from the Bus Open Data archive generously built and kept by Open Innovations, with thanks. Route lines and stops: Powered by TfL Open Data. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2016. Geomni UK Map data © and database rights [2019]. These pages and the bus replay are built independently from open data: Transport for London, the Department for Transport and the bus operators had no part in making them, and none of them endorses them. Not for planning a journey.