406
Usually a Volvo Wrightbus Eclipse Gemini 3.

No on-time figurewe can't yet publish a reliable on-time figure for route 406. Below is how long people waited, against what the timetable alone would give.

The last week, day by day
Chance of waiting more than ten minutes if you turn up at random.
The weekly figures

The chance of waiting more than ten minutes if you turn up at random.

Week endingtowards Eden Streettowards Epsom Hospital
21 Jun 2025no datano data
28 Jun 202556%57%
5 Jul 202558% thin59% thin
12 Jul 202559% thin60% thin
19 Jul 202558%58%
26 Jul 202557%57%
2 Aug 202557%58%
9 Aug 202558%56%
16 Aug 202556%56%
23 Aug 202557%57%
30 Aug 202558%59%
6 Sept 202558%58%
13 Sept 202559%59%
20 Sept 202560%60%
27 Sept 202559%59%
4 Oct 202559%59%
11 Oct 202559%59%
18 Oct 202559%58%
25 Oct 202559%59%
1 Nov 202560%59%
8 Nov 202559%59%
15 Nov 202561% thin58% thin
22 Nov 202559% thin57% thin
29 Nov 202558%58%
6 Dec 202561%61%
13 Dec 202559%58%
20 Dec 202560%61%
27 Dec 2025no datano data
3 Jan 2026no datano data
10 Jan 202661%60%
17 Jan 202659%61%
24 Jan 2026no datano data
31 Jan 202660%60%
7 Feb 202660%59%
14 Feb 202659%59%
21 Feb 2026no datano data
28 Feb 2026no datano data
7 Mar 202659%60%
14 Mar 202659%59%
21 Mar 202659%59%
28 Mar 202659%59%
4 Apr 202658%60%
11 Apr 202659%60%
18 Apr 202659%59%
25 Apr 202660% thin60% thin
2 May 202659%59%
9 May 202660%59%
16 May 202659%59%
23 May 202659%59%
30 May 202660%62%
6 Jun 202659%59%
13 Jun 202659%59%
20 Jun 202659%59%
27 Jun 202660%59%
4 Jul 2026no datano data
11 Jul 202656%57%
18 Jul 202656%57%
25 Jul 202659%59%
1 Aug 2026no datano data
8 Aug 2026no datano data
15 Aug 2026no datano data
22 Aug 2026no datano data
29 Aug 2026no datano data
5 Sept 202658%58%
12 Sept 202657%57%
19 Sept 202657%58%
26 Sept 202658%59%
3 Oct 202657%57%
10 Oct 202657%57%
17 Oct 202657%57%

Waiting for a bus towards Eden Street, more than ten minutes goes by on about 57% of trips. Running exactly to the timetable it would be 56% of trips.

towards Eden Street
Wait > 10 min
57%timetable alone: 56%
Wait > 20 min
20%timetable alone: 14%
Wait > 30 min
3%timetable alone: 0%
1 in 20 wait over
28 min
Cut short
1.5% 5 of 344 journeys
towards Epsom Hospital
Wait > 10 min
57%timetable alone: 57%
Wait > 20 min
19%timetable alone: 14%
Wait > 30 min
2%timetable alone: 0%
1 in 20 wait over
27 min
Cut short
1.2% 4 of 347 journeys

61 minutes was the longest gap between buses this week, at Reigate Road / Green Man towards Eden Street, from 23:19 on Tuesday 13 October to 00:20 on Wednesday 14 October. This excludes any gaps caused by holes in our own data. Watch it happen →

When it goes wrong

Chance of waiting more than twenty minutes if you turn up at random, by time of day, averaged over the most recent weeks of data. The mark on each bar is the chance if everything ran to timetable.

  • Weekdays 05:00–07:00 13.9%
  • Weekdays 07:00–10:00 12.2%
  • Weekdays 10:00–16:00 10.2%
  • Weekdays 16:00–19:00 16.3%
  • Weekdays 19:00–24:00 34.6%
  • Saturdays 15.2%
  • Sundays and bank holidays 33.3%

Journeys cut short

Last week: 1.3% of journeys were turned back before the end of the line in the week ending 17 October 2026. Everyone on board has to get off; for anyone waiting further along the route it's effectively a cancellation.

towards Eden Street

Last week, 5 of 344 journeys (1%) were turned short.

  • Surbiton Road / Penrhyn Road1.5 km short of the end 4
  • Surbiton Hill Road / Hollyfield School2.3 km short of the end 1

towards Epsom Hospital

Last week, 4 of 347 journeys (1%) were turned short.

  • Mongers Lane1.7 km short of the end 2
  • Reigate Road / Green Man1.9 km short of the end 1
  • Worcester Park Road5.4 km short of the end 1

Each place is the last stop the bus was timed at before it turned round, with the typical distance it fell short of the end of the line. The five busiest are named; the rest are counted together.

Compared with TfL's own figures

QuarterTfLOurs
2025/26 Q313 Sept – 2 Jan 202686% on timeno figure
2026/27 Q11 Apr – 26 Jun 202685% on timeno figure

TfL's figures come from its own tracking equipment and its own timetable; mine are computed from the buses' public position feed. They are the same calculation on independent data, so they should broadly agree and move together rather than match exactly.

About this data
Data collected, week ending 17 October 2026
100% of the week. This is the share of the week for which we hold bus location data at all, across the whole of London rather than for this route. A week under 60% is not published; under 90% it is marked as thin.
Journeys observed
  • towards Eden Street: 344 journeys tracked across seven days
  • towards Epsom Hospital: 347 journeys tracked across seven days
A guide to how much evidence sits behind this week's figures, not a measure of the service.
How it is measured
Every day, 05:00–23:59. Waits are measured along the route at TfL's timing points, in each direction, against the timetable — not at the ends of the route, where a bus turned back early counts as if it had run. This route runs to a timetable, but we can't yet publish a reliable on-time figure for it, so it is measured by how long people waited, as a frequent route is. A day with less than four hours of data collected shows no daily figure. How these figures are made.
Gaps in the record for this period (39)

Most recent first. Hover a week on the chart and it will name the gap behind it. Most are a few missing hours on an otherwise ordinary day.

  • 17 Sept 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59: our collector was down (machine off or power cut)
  • 28 Aug 2026 partial day, no data 20:00-23:59: our collector was down (machine off or power cut)
  • 29 Jul – 26 Aug 2026 no collection: the volunteer BODS archive was down and our own collector had not yet started
  • 28 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 11:00-23:59: no collection: the volunteer BODS archive was down and our own collector had not yet started
  • 7 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 15:00-15:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 4 Jul 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-21:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 2 Jul – 3 Jul 2026 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 8 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 07:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 7 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59, 18:00-19:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 6 Jun 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59, 16:00-16:59, 18:00-18:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 27 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-12:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 21 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 20 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 15:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 16 Apr 2026 partial day, no data 12:00-15:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 28 Feb 2026 partial day, no data 06:00-18:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 16 Feb – 27 Feb 2026 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 15 Feb 2026 partial day, no data 16:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 30 Jan 2026 partial day, no data 20:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 25 Dec 2025 no bus service on Christmas Day
  • 23 Dec 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Dec 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 24 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 17:00-17:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 17 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 15 Nov – 16 Nov 2025 no London vehicles in the national feed — TfL's export to BODS was down (the volunteer archive itself was collecting)
  • 14 Nov 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59, 13:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 31 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 17 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-07:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 10 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 3 Oct 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 19 Sept 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Sept 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 1 Aug 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 18 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-09:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 8 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-08:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 6 Jul – 7 Jul 2025 gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 5 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 18:00-23:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 4 Jul 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-14:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)
  • 25 Jun 2025 partial day, no data 06:00-11:59: gap in the volunteer BODS archive (its collector was down)

For latest timetable and route information, see TfL's official page.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0; bus data via the DfT Bus Open Data Service and Transport for London. Figures are computed from observed bus positions, every day, 05:00–23:59. How these figures are made. Bus positions from the Department for Transport’s Bus Open Data Service (BODS); the Department for Transport cannot warrant the accuracy or quality of the data published there. Positions before September 2026 come from the Bus Open Data archive generously built and kept by Open Innovations, with thanks. Route lines and stops: Powered by TfL Open Data. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2016. Geomni UK Map data © and database rights [2019]. These pages and the bus replay are built independently from open data: Transport for London, the Department for Transport and the bus operators had no part in making them, and none of them endorses them. Not for planning a journey.